Category Archives: Uncategorized

Why Arizona May Not Get a 10th Congressional Seat

By Tony Sissons, Research Advisory Services, Inc., Phoenix, for The Arizona Guardian

For the past five years, political consultants have been projecting that Arizona will pick up two additional congressional districts after the 2010 Census. Until a year ago, I agreed. Now, because of recent and continuing economic conditions, and the likelihood of a larger‐than‐ever Hispanic undercount, I think it’s a toss‐up whether Arizona’s 2010 population will be large enough to qualify for that 10th seat.
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Who has to Redistrict, and What Population Data to Use

By Tony Sissons, Research Advisory Services, Inc., Phoenix, for The Arizona Guardian

The once-a-decade process of redrawing election district boundaries to restore population equality after the Census involves elected officials, jurisdiction staff, the public, interest groups, and sometimes participants from other levels of government. For most local governments, the active part of the process takes at least four months – longer for larger jurisdictions – and the required review by the U. S. Department of Justice under Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act adds two to four months (or longer).
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Compactness and Contiguity – the Antidotes to Gerrymandering

By Tony Sissons, Research Advisory Services, Inc., Phoenix, for The Arizona Guardian

So, what is a gerrymander? If you consult the blogosphere, you’re sure to deduce that it is any proposed boundary line on a political map that makes an incumbent feel that he or she has been disadvantaged. Regardless of the shape of the district, any geographic slight can prompt “I’ve been gerrymandered!”
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Redistricting: Communities of Interest – How They Are Defined, Used and Sometimes Misused in Drawing Districts

By Tony Sissons, Research Advisory Services, Inc., Phoenix

Methods for conducting the 2020 Census are being tested in a couple of large jurisdictions.  Can the next round of redistricting be that far away?

This is a good time to start a review of election district ‘design criteria’. There are some differences between state‐level redistricting (legislative and congressional districts) and the redrawing of election districts in counties, cities, community colleges and some school districts. But many of the concepts are universal. In this series of columns we will cover them all, noting their applicability as we go. These columns may get a little technical at times. Tough it out…spinach before cheesecake.
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The Law of Redistricting – Competitive Districts and the Voting Rights Act

By Tony Sissons, Research Advisory Services, Inc., Phoenix and Bruce Adelson, Federal Compliance Consulting, LLC, Maryland, for the Arizona Capitol Times

Arizona’s legislative districts map received its final OK from the Arizona Supreme Court in May, 2009 – eight years after the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission started the mapping process. The Supreme Court decided primarily in the Commission’s favor, citing some procedural errors, but declining to order a new map. Recent news articles, including an analysis in the Arizona Capitol Times, have speculated about the ruling’s effect on the work of the next redistricting commission.
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